
An investigation into whether a modest act of foreign policy can, with sufficient assistance, become everybody’s problem.
The fact that several dominoes were already leaning is a reason to be more careful about pushing another one. The Department regrets that this required nineteen pages.
A satirical examination of strategic judgement, distinguishing observed events from plausible connections, speculative escalation and remote tail risk. The cascade is not a forecast. The table has nevertheless been referred to Estates.